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yangruoxin 发表于 2008-11-13 15:45

Software & Services Tencent "A Strong 3Q Driven by New Games"

Pls see attached the full PDF research report, below is a highlight:<br/>Key Points:<br/>◆&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 3Q revenue may reach Rmb2bn, representing QoQ growth of 25%+ and YoY growth of almost 100%. The gaming sector could be the main growth engine with PCU of two new games, Dungeon and Fighter and Cross Fire, exceeding 800k and 600k, respectively. <br/>◆&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Margin decline. We expect gross margin to have declined because of the increasing percentage of licensed games and increasing content costs related to the Olympics and increasing S&amp;M expenses for new games. <br/>◆&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; EPS for 3Q may reach Rmb0.40, beating Bloomberg consensus for 8% growth. <br/>◆&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Our 2008 revenue forecast is Rmb7,141mn, EPS HK$1.70. Our 2009 revenue forecast is Rmb9,348mn, EPS HK$2.27. The stock is currently trading at the low end of its P/E range.<br/>&nbsp;[attach]9550[/attach]<br/>

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